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The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Cent, by James Howard Kunstler

The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Cent, by James Howard Kunstler


The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Cent, by James Howard Kunstler


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The Long Emergency: Surviving the End of Oil, Climate Change, and Other Converging Catastrophes of the Twenty-First Cent, by James Howard Kunstler

Review

“It used to be that only environmentalists and paranoids warned about the world running out of oil and the future it could bring: crashing economies, resource wars, social breakdown, agony at the pump. Not anymore. . . . America’s dependence on oil is too pervasive to undo quickly, [Kunstler] warns. . . . In the meantime, we’ll have our hands full dealing with . . . the soaring temperatures, rising sea levels and mega-droughts brought by global climate change. Not long ago, a Jeremiah like Kunstler would have been dismissed as a kook. . . . As brilliant as it is baleful . . . and we disregard it at our peril.” —The Washington Post“This is a frightening and important book.” —Time Out Chicago“If you give a damn, you should read this book.” —Colin Tudge, The Independent“What sets The Long Emergency apart…is its comprehensive sweep—its powerful integration of science, technology, economics, finance, international politics and social change, along with a fascinating attempt to peer into a chaotic future. Kunstler is such a compelling and sometimes eloquent writer that the book is hard to put down.” –American Scientist“[A] popular blueprint for surviving the end of oil.” —Paul Greenberg, The New York Times Book Review“Funny, irreverent, and blunt.” –The Globe and Mail“An especial strength of this book is its break with some of the more pernicious strands in the contemporary left, specifically the left’s kneejerk rejection of America acting militarily in its national interest. . . . There are hints of Malthus here, and of Oswald Spangler’s Decline of the West as well. Mr. Kunstler’s book is a jeremiad, driven by authorial presence. Pithy, entertaining descriptions of historical phenomena like the Soviet Union . . . enliven the text, allowing the veteran commentator to expound on themes that might read leaden by a less facile wordsmith. . . . The book succeeds as an accessible primer to a looming crisis that could end the American way of life.” —A.G. Gancarski, Washington Times“Kunstler is an amusing and engaging observer and polemicist, and the terrain he surveys is unforgiving and perilous.” —Robert Birnbaum, The Morning News“Novelist and journalist James Howard Kunstler is the leading popular voice of peak oil, the theory that says we have gone through more than half the world’s supply of this much-needed resource. Kunstler’s regular Monday morning posts foretell a world beset by oil shortages, which he believes will lead to everything from financial shenanigans (sound familiar?) to food riots, not to mention attacks on the wealthy, abandoned suburban housing developments and a forced return to small-town living.” —Helaine Olen, Portfolio“Kunstler displays a kind of macabre wit about the unpleasantness and strife that await us all. . . . His assertions have a neat way of doubling back to anticipate your critiques. If you express doubt about his views, then you may well be among the deluded masses too addicted to your McSUV and McSuburb to accept the reality that lies ahead.”—Katharine Mieszkowski, salon.com“Kunstler is America’s version of an Old Testament prophet, a stinging social critic who warns of dark days ahead if we do not change the way we live.” —Brian Kaller, Pulse“Kunstler’s book was shockingly readable and engaging….He covers a vast array of topics…I felt like I’d taken a crash course on Big Oil, Global Warming, and Geopolitics just to name a few.”—Romi Lassally, Huffington Post“James Howard Kunstler’s The Long Emergency may be destined to become the Dante’s Inferno of the twenty-first century. It graphically depicts the horrific punishments that lie ahead for Americans for more than a century of sinful consumption and sprawling communities, fueled by the profligate use of cheap oil and gas. Its central message—that the country will pay dearly unless it urgently develops new, sustainable community-scale food systems, energy sources, and living patterns—should be read, digested, and acted upon by every conscientious U.S. politician and citizen.” —Michael Shuman, author of Going Local: Creating Self-Reliant Communities in a Global Age“If you give a damn, you should read this book.” —Colin Tudge, The Independent (UK)“Kunstler concentrates on the continuing environmental instability and the political consequences of the fuel cessation in equal bouts and this makes for a well rounded argument.” —Buzz (UK)“In the annals of doomsday literature . . . The Long Emergency is destined to become the new standard. . . . Demands frank consideration of what up to now has been unthinkable: that the ascendancy of the human race might have been a temporary phenomenon. . . . This case has been made before, but here it is made powerfully and articulately, with no apology and no hint of reprieve. . . . The Long Emergency represents a ‘wake-up call’ in the same sense that a hand grenade tossed through your bedroom window might serve as an alarm clock. The book is stark and frightening. Read it soon.” —Jim Charlier, Daily Camera“A shrewd and engaging social commentator.” —Sierra Atlantic“Adds a relentless, scary, and entertaining voice to the rising alarm about life after the cheap oil is gone. . . . The internal logic of the argument is persuasive, and one reads . . . the book with white knuckles.” —Bryant Urstadt, technologyreview.com“Authoritative and eye-opening. His predictions for the future make for a page-turning ‘Brave New World.’” —T-D (London)“James Howard Kunstler has given us, with his usual engaging wit and verve, a new kindof post-apocalypse scenario. Instead of the nuclear or ice-age wasteland of our earlier imaginings, he has depicted with detailed extrapolation the civilization of the United States after the oil runs out and a great economic collapse occurs. It is a strangely arcadian vision, like the agrarian America that Jefferson, Calhoun, and the Southern Agrarians dreamed of. But Kunstler has fleshed it out with delightful quirky insights and provided our science fiction writers with a fresh mise-en-scene.” —Frederick Turner, author of The New World and The Culture of Hope

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Product details

Paperback: 336 pages

Publisher: Grove Press; 1st Edition. edition (March 2, 2006)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0802142494

ISBN-13: 978-0802142498

Product Dimensions:

6 x 0.9 x 8.9 inches

Shipping Weight: 1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.0 out of 5 stars

322 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#186,607 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Incredible. I was blown way when I read this book several years ago. I had never read any thing quite so pessimistic and troubling. Kunstler is a great writer and very out spoken critic of Americas failures, primarily social and political. This book is a warning to our civilization that is operating in a completely unsustainable manner. Although some of the predictions have not panned out as predicted the contention remains pertinent. I hints are still unravelling. He might be right in his prediction but slightly off on the timing. Do yourself a favour read this book and contemplate the consequences of what is said.

I'm a radical and I do think our current industrial way of life will be over this century, but I wouldn't recommend this book. He does discuss many important issues, but I think there are better authors on the subjects, whether on peak oil or anthropology or history. He makes A LOT of assertions without evidence (he seems to me a hack pundit rather than an expert) and loads of predictions about our future, so it's very hit and miss (it seems like there are hundreds of mistakes in this book). For example, he rightly talks about the housing bubble and how suburbia isn't sustainable, but then he also talks about how shale gas isn't economically viable (fracking?) and how peak oil would be between 2000 and 2008 (we're still not there it seems). This book is not only human-focused, but American-focused. He mostly talks about the industrious people in America, leaving out the non-industrious poor. He doesn't make any deep criticism of our culture or past, leaving out a lot about how we got to be such a destructive and individualistic state.Good points:1. 2008 recession. He predicted the housing bubble.2. He criticizes consumerism, suburbia, and car culture.3. He rightly says our culture is dying, and that we will be moving into a "Long Emergency".Bad points (these are some examples, there are hundreds of mistakes and loads of junk commentary/predictions in this book):1. Racism. He lumps Muslims together in chapter 3 for criticism about fundamentalism, and lumps blacks together for criticism in chapter 7. Chapter 3 sounds a lot like what comes out of the mouth of neoconservatives like Thomas Friedman. He seems to support the war in Iraq.2. He leaves out much popular social criticism about our industrial way of thinking, commitment and individualism in America: see Morris Berman, Philip Slater, Robert Bellah, World-Systems Analysis.3. He leaves out anthropology, especially when talking about culture and community. He doesn't mention older traditions and ways of living, especially tribal cultures.4. He says that natives will one day reinhabit the Great Plains. This seems far-fetched.5. Throughout the book, he says anarchy = chaos and violence. I don't think he's read radical literature, as the word means "without leaders". Read The Democracy Project by David Graeber.6. He says humans have always made transactions with money. This is false: anthropologists recognize we first had credit before anything else: read Debt: The First 5,000 Years7. He doesn't discuss pre-scientific thought: people in industrialized countries drastically changed our way of thinking 400 years ago, but he doesn't really address this. Read, "Reenchantment of The World" by Morris Berman.8. Peak oil. He said shale gas wouldn't be economically viable (he didn't anticipate fraking), and we'd hit peak between 2000 and 2008. He was wrong on both points, but I do believe the peak oil discussion is important. There is good writing about peak oil on smartplanet.com, and discussion by EIA, USGS, and university professors and other authors. It seems peak oil will occur closer to mid-century than right now. That's still really close, so definitely important to talk about!8. He focuses on peak oil above all reasons that we will enter the "Long Emergency", though it seems like other things could be important as well. There is also pollution, loss of biodiversity, destruction of ecosystems, overconsumption, lack of commitment in American life. Also our economy is based on debt, and it seems like another recession could really mess the system up. He doesn't mention world-systems analysis.

OK, when you read this and meet the Dark Side Of The Force (which really does seem to be us, especially those we elect to *represent* us in government office)... If you're not scared of the dark side now, you will be. You. Will. Be. It's very hard to say you like a book that seems to so accurately pinpoint our past failings and even worse the *fixes* we're making now all in the name of what basically will be the end of the world for humans (our world will adapt and move on, but humans I think already have experienced the pinnacle of the miracles of *modern life* as it pertains to them), but I do like it very much. After picking it up just as a sort of general interest thing (after just finishing a book talking about fracking and all the other ways we are ruining our one and only home's ability to support us in ANY sort of comfort in the ever-tougher-but-never-ending (although there will BE an ending) search for that sweet crude that is the foundation for all we find comfortable-to-essential for *modern* life). I found the history of the rise and the author's ideas about the fall of this civilization -- all based on the use of fossil fuels that can NOT be renewed -- very fascinating reading. When I was a kid in high school, working in a gas station during the first (and worst) of the *oil shortages* and learned the outlines at least of what was happening to us basically for nothing other than greed (my assertion, I don't know particularly that the author could pick one cause-for-all-that-is-coming to man from his own actions), and never have gotten over the shock of the shortages (especially after the 2nd one!) of something (fossil fuels) that is finite and will end soon. We had the *crises*, then ... what, it just ended? The non-renewable resource had been replenished somehow? And then we had the SECOND GAS CRISES! Then -- poof! -- that, too seemed to somehow disappear by nothing more than the waving of political magic wands. A liter (somewhere between a quart and a gallon) back then started to cost $8.00 per and up, but our prices went right on back to *normal*. We are STILL complaining about the cost of something everyone seems to have hypnotized everyone else into believing will never end at 3 and 4 bucks a gallon! We're at war all over the globe (but the mid-east seems a particular *hot-spot*). Everything the U.S. did wrong to get to this disposable, wasteful, use-it-and-forget-it lifestyle everyone else now wants to do so they too can have their equivalent of *the American dream*. This book is trying to tell us it isn't a dream anymore -- that WE MAY ALREADY HAVE PASSED THE POSSIBLE PINNACLE OF OUR CIVILIZATION since the oil on which it all was based is going away. Everyone still seems to be doing their best to believe the CATASTROPHE looming on the horizon (where all the boys and girls have nukes now) won't happen, and still -- the oil is running out. Now, we are busily poisoning what's left of our fresh water (through *fracking*) to make the ever-smaller quantities of oil keep producing at rates they no longer can sustain. It is WAY past time to yell stop, in my opinion. The "Long Emergency" about which the author writes has the serious potential to be the end of mankind on earth (and just by looking around, one can tell THE LONG EMERGENCY already has begun) and still, everything seems to be business as usual. Places all over the United States that used to have large, pure, mostly self-sustaining clean water to drink now can literally turn on the tap, wait a few moments, hold up a source of fire to what should be *tap-water* and instead FIRE comes out. We really need to get going (it's past too late, but we MUST start!) on this stuff, or THE LONG EMERGENCY may instead become *The End of Man on Planet Earth." A VERY good read that, without advocating violence or other counter-productive measures, is trying to tell everyone something they desperately need to hear -- an excellent and highly recommended read. Be ready for shocks and examples of idiocy almost beyond the ability to comprehend, but please, buy it, read it, and if you can, do SOMETHING, almost ANYTHING to ensure that others also know what is happening and what could happen. This no longer (in my opinion) is something only *our kids* and future generations will have to deal with. It already has started, and we need to start doing something intelligent and productive about it RIGHT NOW!

I've been reading Kunstler's stuff (rantings, entertaining cultural and architectural criticism on his blog, whatever you want to call it) for more than a few years now, but for some reason, never got to this book (probably his central one). Even as read nine or more years after its publication, it does not strike any false notes. Of course the dire predictions that Kunstler makes have (mostly) not yet happened. Will they? Uh, gee, most of us hope not. But likely? Probably!This is not conspiracy theory kind of stuff, or the ravings of a guy detached from reality. I have lived through most of the latter 20th century that Kunstler so breathtakingly reviews, and for me he strikes no false notes.It was as it was, and very few of his comments are off target.So read it, and weep.

Another well-written, extremely well-researched book by Kuntsler. Provocative and detailed, it'll make you think twice about the rest of your life. (However long that is.) Written in 2005 with a couple of updates, it's still very timely. I wish some policy makers were reading this information.

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